Day: October 8, 2025

A Future Without Trends: How to Forecast When History Stops Being Useful

Illustration of analysts forecasting without relying on historical trends: scenario maps, forward-looking models and teams testing adaptive strategies to predict change when past patterns no longer apply.

When Historical Patterns Break Down Forecasting once relied on the idea that the future would echo the past. Econometric andAI models alike have been built upon decades of historical data, but assuming stability,continuity, and recurring cycles. Yet, the last few years have shown how quickly these assumptions can collapse. Pandemicshocks, climate disruptions, geopolitical realignments, and […]